Not sure if I've expressed these thoughts on 'ze blog, but if I were Omar Minaya(and sometimes I thank my lucky stars I'm not, although he's a lot better looking than I am), my blueprint for my beloved Mets was simple: Blow the Bleeping thing Up! Other than 4 or 5 players, dangle everyone else for either prospects, or younger major-league talent. In other words, rebuild to an extent where the Mets toil around .500 this year, but have a good enough team to seriously contend for the next decade afterwards, rather than masquerade as the NL's best team on paper April-August, and then remind everyone in September that you really aren't that good.
Well, 77 games and 39 losses later, others are coming around to this idea. Except they are taking it one ill-conceived step further. They are endorsing a potential move of the great Johan Santana...
For our response, let's bring on Andres Cantor: NO NO NO NO NO NO NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!
Yes, I've seen Santana get his ass ripped off in 3 of his past five starts(26 hits, 19 ER in 16 innings). Yes, I'm aware that he has 5 years and a gazillion dollars left on his deal. But I'm also aware that the greatness of Johan Santana often doesn't come into focus until after the All-Star Break.
The raw data can be viewed here:
Career Totals
1st Half: 60-40, 3.46 ERA, 1.16 WHIP
2nd Half: 58-17, 2.70 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
Johan's Cy Young Season of 2004
1st Half: 7-6, 3.78 ERA, 1.07 WHIP
2nd Half: 13-0, 1.21 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
Johan's 2nd Cy Young Season of 2006
1st Half: 9-5, 2.95 ERA, 1.00 WHIP
2nd Half: 10-1, 2.54 ERA, 0.99 WHIP
Johan's 1st Season as a Met
1st Half: 8-7, 2.84 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
2nd Half: 8-0, 2.17 ERA, 1.09 WHIP
So, in other words, I fully expect that Johan's mortal 9-6, 3.34 ERA numbers will look more like 18-9, 2.80 ERA by the end of the season. And that he will still be considered one of the top 3 pitchers in the game, and will continue to pitch at such a level throughout most of his contract.
It makes no sense for the Mets to deal him because there's virtually no shot they will get someone with Johan Santana potential in return. The key to making a rebuilding deal is you hope the player/players you get in return can eventually supplant the player you traded away. It's certainly possible the Mets can land another Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado, or even David Wright in a deal. There's virtually no shot of grabbing another Johan Santana though.
Well, 77 games and 39 losses later, others are coming around to this idea. Except they are taking it one ill-conceived step further. They are endorsing a potential move of the great Johan Santana...
For our response, let's bring on Andres Cantor: NO NO NO NO NO NO NOOOOOOOOOOOOO!!
Yes, I've seen Santana get his ass ripped off in 3 of his past five starts(26 hits, 19 ER in 16 innings). Yes, I'm aware that he has 5 years and a gazillion dollars left on his deal. But I'm also aware that the greatness of Johan Santana often doesn't come into focus until after the All-Star Break.
The raw data can be viewed here:
Career Totals
1st Half: 60-40, 3.46 ERA, 1.16 WHIP
2nd Half: 58-17, 2.70 ERA, 1.05 WHIP
Johan's Cy Young Season of 2004
1st Half: 7-6, 3.78 ERA, 1.07 WHIP
2nd Half: 13-0, 1.21 ERA, 0.75 WHIP
Johan's 2nd Cy Young Season of 2006
1st Half: 9-5, 2.95 ERA, 1.00 WHIP
2nd Half: 10-1, 2.54 ERA, 0.99 WHIP
Johan's 1st Season as a Met
1st Half: 8-7, 2.84 ERA, 1.19 WHIP
2nd Half: 8-0, 2.17 ERA, 1.09 WHIP
So, in other words, I fully expect that Johan's mortal 9-6, 3.34 ERA numbers will look more like 18-9, 2.80 ERA by the end of the season. And that he will still be considered one of the top 3 pitchers in the game, and will continue to pitch at such a level throughout most of his contract.
It makes no sense for the Mets to deal him because there's virtually no shot they will get someone with Johan Santana potential in return. The key to making a rebuilding deal is you hope the player/players you get in return can eventually supplant the player you traded away. It's certainly possible the Mets can land another Carlos Beltran, Carlos Delgado, or even David Wright in a deal. There's virtually no shot of grabbing another Johan Santana though.
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